Oxford City vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
OXF
4 - 2
AFT
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 3
OXF
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FRO
0 - 3
OXF
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 2
CHE
26%
25%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MIC
1 - 3
CHE
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
STO
1 - 2
CHE
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |