Ovarense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
BMA
3 - 0
OVA
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
ARB
1 - 2
OVA
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
OVA
1 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
7%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1994 |
RIO
0 - 3
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
RIO
2 - 1
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
60%
23%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
47%
30%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
VST
3 - 0
RIO
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |