Ovarense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
OVA
0 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
RIO
1 - 1
OVA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
OVA
2 - 1
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 4
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |