Outes vs Lira CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OUT
2 - 3
MAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PSD
4 - 2
OUT
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OUT
3 - 0
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
OUT
1 - 1
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CEE
2 - 3
OUT
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lira CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LIR
0 - 2
XAL
12%
16%
71%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAZ
2 - 0
LIR
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LIR
0 - 1
PSD
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
LIR
77%
14%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
LIR
3 - 0
CEE
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |