Canadian Championship Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Ottawa Fury vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
EDM
0 - 3
OTT
37%
23%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 2
MIN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
MIA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EDM
2 - 0
OTT
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
OTT
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
EDM
2 - 1
NYC
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
EDM
0 - 3
OTT
37%
23%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
EDM
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
JAC
0 - 1
EDM
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EDM
2 - 0
OTT
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |