OSS '20 vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
OSS
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TOP
0 - 6
OSS
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OSS
1 - 3
UDI
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DON
3 - 1
OSS
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
1 - 2
GEM
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 0
DOS
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 2
BLA
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BLA
3 - 0
TOP
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TIE
2 - 0
BLA
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BLA
4 - 0
DEU
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |