Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
18º
17º
41
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lechia Gdansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
GDA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GDA
4 - 3
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GDA
1 - 0
POL
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GDA
4 - 2
BEO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 0
SLA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LPO
0 - 0
ZNI
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
4 - 1
WLO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 7
FCN
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
0 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
3 - 1
ČUK
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |