LaLiga round 38

Osasuna vs Girona analysis

Osasuna Girona
85 ELO 82
-9% Tilt -13.8%
119º General ELO ranking 51º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.6%
Osasuna
25.5%
Draw
28%
Girona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
Osasuna
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
Girona
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Osasuna
+5%
-8%
Girona

Points and table prediction

Osasuna
Their league position
Girona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
10º
49
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barcelona
88
88
100%
Real Madrid
78
78
100%
Atlético
77
77
100%
Real Sociedad
71
71
100%
Villarreal
64
64
100%
Real Betis
60
60
100%
Osasuna
53
53
100%
Athletic
51
51
100%
Mallorca
50
50
100%
Girona
10º
49
49
10º
0%
Rayo Vallecano
11º
49
49
11º
0%
Sevilla
12º
49
49
12º
0%
Celta
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Valencia
16º
42
42
14º
0%
Getafe
15º
42
42
15º
0%
Cádiz
14º
42
42
16º
100%
Almería
17º
41
41
17º
100%
Real Valladolid
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Espanyol
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Elche
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Osasuna
Girona
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Osasuna
Girona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Osasuna
Osasuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2023
GET
Getafe
2 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
32%
30%
38%
84 82 2 0
25 May. 2023
OSA
Osasuna
2 - 0
Athletic
ATH
34%
27%
39%
84 87 3 0
21 May. 2023
ATM
Atlético
3 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
65%
21%
13%
84 90 6 0
13 May. 2023
OSA
Osasuna
3 - 1
Almería
ALM
50%
25%
26%
84 78 6 0
06 May. 2023
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
85%
11%
4%
84 94 10 0

Matches

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2023
GIR
Girona
1 - 2
Real Betis
BET
28%
25%
47%
82 88 6 0
23 May. 2023
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Girona
GIR
45%
25%
30%
82 83 1 0
20 May. 2023
GIR
Girona
1 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
22%
24%
54%
82 89 7 0
13 May. 2023
RSO
Real Sociedad
2 - 2
Girona
GIR
55%
25%
20%
82 89 7 0
04 May. 2023
GIR
Girona
2 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
48%
25%
26%
82 81 1 0