Primera RFEF Grupo 1 round 17

Osasuna Promesas vs Barça Atlètic analysis

Osasuna Promesas Barça Atlètic
57 ELO 69
7% Tilt 10.7%
1929º General ELO ranking 1043º
81º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Osasuna Promesas
24.8%
Draw
49.5%
Barça Atlètic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
Osasuna Promesas
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.4%
Win probability
Barça Atlètic
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Osasuna Promesas
-6%
-8%
Barça Atlètic

Points and table prediction

Osasuna Promesas
Their league position
Barça Atlètic
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
16º
14º
23
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cultural Leonesa
37
66
33%
Celta Fortuna
28
62
10.5%
Real Sociedad B
31
61
13.5%
Ponferradina
30
61
14.5%
Gimnàstic Tarragona
31
60
9%
Barakaldo
32
59
7%
Unionistas CF
10º
26
58
10%
Barça Atlètic
12º
23
57
9%
FC Andorra
28
57
10%
Arenteiro
29
55
10º
12.5%
Zamora CF
26
50
11º
13%
CD Lugo
14º
23
46
12º
8%
Sestao River
13º
23
46
13º
13%
Osasuna Promesas
15º
23
46
14º
10%
Ourense CF
16º
21
44
15º
6.5%
Gimnástica Segoviana
11º
25
44
16º
8.5%
Bilbao Ath.
19º
19
41
17º
9.5%
SD Amorebieta
20º
15
41
18º
12%
SD Tarazona
17º
20
40
19º
14.5%
Real Unión Club
18º
20
39
20º
22.5%
Expected probabilities
Osasuna Promesas
Barça Atlètic
Promotion
0.5% 1.5%
Promotion play-offs
1% 34%
Mid-table
65% 62.5%
Relegation
33.5% 2%

ELO progression

Osasuna Promesas
Barça Atlètic
Ourense CF
Zamora CF
Real Sociedad B
Ponferradina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Osasuna Promesas
Osasuna Promesas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
FCA
FC Andorra
7 - 2
Osasuna Promesas
OSA
56%
25%
20%
58 70 12 0
01 Dec. 2024
OSA
Osasuna Promesas
0 - 3
SD Tarazona
TAR
54%
24%
22%
59 57 2 -1
23 Nov. 2024
ARE
Arenteiro
1 - 1
Osasuna Promesas
OSA
47%
26%
27%
59 64 5 0
15 Nov. 2024
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
0 - 1
Osasuna Promesas
OSA
42%
26%
32%
58 58 0 +1
10 Nov. 2024
OSA
Osasuna Promesas
0 - 0
Unionistas CF
UNI
32%
27%
41%
58 69 11 0

Matches

Barça Atlètic
Barça Atlètic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
FCB
Barça Atlètic
2 - 2
Celta Fortuna
CEL
50%
25%
25%
68 69 1 0
01 Dec. 2024
ARE
Arenteiro
1 - 2
Barça Atlètic
FCB
32%
27%
41%
68 64 4 0
24 Nov. 2024
FCB
Barça Atlètic
0 - 2
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
55%
25%
21%
68 68 0 0
17 Nov. 2024
SDA
SD Amorebieta
2 - 1
Barça Atlètic
FCB
37%
26%
36%
69 65 4 -1
10 Nov. 2024
FCB
Barça Atlètic
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
63%
22%
15%
69 63 6 0