FK Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
7º
18º
10º
33
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
85.5% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAT
4 - 0
ORS
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
3 - 2
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 5
ORS
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
MOL
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
ORS
25%
22%
52%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GOM
0 - 2
LID
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOM
0 - 3
VOL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 0
GOM
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
BAT
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
GOM
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |