Ørn Horten vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ORN
3 - 0
GJO
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ORN
2 - 0
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIN
2 - 1
ORN
69%
17%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ORN
3 - 1
FKA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
STR
3 - 2
ORN
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MJO
1 - 1
ULL
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HAS
1 - 2
ULL
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ULL
1 - 1
HAU
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ULL
5 - 0
OLD
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ROA
0 - 0
ULL
16%
17%
67%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |