Orlando City vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 1
DAY
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
ORL
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PNN
2 - 4
ORL
24%
29%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ORL
0 - 1
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ORL
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 3
WIL
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
WIL
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |