USL Championship Semi-finals

Orlando City vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis

Orlando City Wilmington Hammerheads
70 ELO 61
6.9% Tilt 5.1%
186º General ELO ranking 26574º
Country ELO ranking 339º
ELO win probability
71.3%
Orlando City
18.5%
Draw
10.3%
Wilmington Hammerheads

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
Orlando City
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
Wilmington Hammerheads
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Orlando City
Wilmington Hammerheads
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orlando City
Orlando City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2012
ORL
Orlando City
1 - 1
Dayton Dutch Lions
DAY
78%
16%
6%
74 49 25 0
03 Aug. 2012
ROC
Rochester New York
0 - 1
Orlando City
ORL
23%
29%
48%
74 61 13 0
01 Aug. 2012
PNN
Penn FC
2 - 4
Orlando City
ORL
24%
29%
48%
73 58 15 +1
29 Jul. 2012
ORL
Orlando City
0 - 1
Stoke City
STO
35%
26%
39%
73 84 11 0
27 Jul. 2012
ORL
Orlando City
4 - 0
Charleston Battery
CHA
74%
18%
8%
73 60 13 0

Matches

Wilmington Hammerheads
Wilmington Hammerheads
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2012
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 3
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
44%
27%
29%
59 59 0 0
20 Aug. 2012
CHA
Charlotte Eagles
1 - 2
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
48%
26%
27%
60 59 1 -1
18 Aug. 2012
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
0 - 1
Charlotte Eagles
CHA
51%
25%
24%
60 59 1 0
05 Aug. 2012
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
2 - 1
Charleston Battery
CHA
52%
26%
22%
60 59 1 0
03 Aug. 2012
CHA
Charleston Battery
2 - 2
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
40%
28%
32%
60 59 1 0