Clausura Ascenso MX round 7

Orizaba vs Cruz Azul analysis

Orizaba Cruz Azul
58 ELO 64
-12.6% Tilt -7.3%
29780º General ELO ranking 23408º
204º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
29.6%
Orizaba
27.7%
Draw
42.7%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
Orizaba
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Orizaba
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orizaba
Orizaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2010
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Orizaba
ORI
67%
21%
12%
57 69 12 0
07 Feb. 2010
ORI
Orizaba
1 - 4
Tijuana
TIJ
27%
28%
45%
58 67 9 -1
31 Jan. 2010
ORI
Orizaba
2 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
31%
29%
40%
57 64 7 +1
24 Jan. 2010
REB
Reboceros de la Piedad
2 - 0
Orizaba
ORI
51%
26%
24%
58 59 1 -1
17 Jan. 2010
ORI
Orizaba
1 - 1
León
LEO
22%
25%
53%
58 69 11 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2010
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
47%
27%
26%
64 63 1 0
07 Feb. 2010
REB
Reboceros de la Piedad
0 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
63 59 4 +1
31 Jan. 2010
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
León
LEO
31%
27%
42%
63 69 6 0
23 Jan. 2010
PUM
Pumas Morelos
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
64 66 2 -1
10 Jan. 2010
LOB
Lobos BUAP
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
64 65 1 0