HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
10º
7º
17
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 44 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 41 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 36 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 35 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 31 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 29 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 25 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 20 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 16 |
12º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 0
ORI
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
RUD
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 0
DUB
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 1
VUK
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZMI
1 - 0
NKJ
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 2
NKJ
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 2
RUD
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |