Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 0-3
Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 0
OPE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 0
PET
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 0
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAM
92%
6%
1%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
GLP
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
TAC
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |