Oriental Lisboa vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 0
ORI
54%
21%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPB
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
7 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
VST
47%
23%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | +1 |