Oriental Lisboa vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
UFT
3 - 0
ORI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VST
3 - 0
ORI
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 0
FAR
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |