Orgánica Masachapa vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
7º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
5%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 4
UNA
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
WAL
14%
25%
62%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |