Örebro Syrianska vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
10º
72
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örebro Syrianska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
ORE
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
ASS
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 2
ORE
30%
23%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
ORE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 2
TAB
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UME
2 - 1
ASS
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 4
UME
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
TAB
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 3
UME
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UME
2 - 4
STO
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |