Preferente Madrid Grupo 4 round 1

Orcasitas vs UD Móstoles Balompié analysis

Orcasitas UD Móstoles Balompié
13 ELO 12
2.2% Tilt 4.2%
14982º General ELO ranking 13090º
2038º Country ELO ranking 963º
ELO win probability
33%
Orcasitas
20.7%
Draw
46.3%
UD Móstoles Balompié

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Orcasitas
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
46.3%
Win probability
UD Móstoles Balompié
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orcasitas
-13%
+29%
UD Móstoles Balompié

ELO progression

Orcasitas
UD Móstoles Balompié
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orcasitas
Orcasitas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
UNI
Union Deportiva Usera
0 - 3
Orcasitas
ORC
46%
22%
33%
11 10 1 0
04 Jun. 2023
ORC
Orcasitas
1 - 1
EMF Villarejo
VIL
76%
14%
10%
11 6 5 0
28 May. 2023
ARG
EF Arganda
0 - 1
Orcasitas
ORC
32%
23%
45%
11 9 2 0
21 May. 2023
ORC
Orcasitas
2 - 2
CD Sitio de Aranjuez
SAR
19%
20%
61%
10 16 6 +1
14 May. 2023
ARG
Arganda
3 - 4
Orcasitas
ORC
72%
17%
11%
9 15 6 +1

Matches

UD Móstoles Balompié
UD Móstoles Balompié
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
1 - 2
EF Carabanchel
EFC
67%
18%
16%
13 12 1 0
04 Jun. 2023
YSB
Los Yébenes San Bruno B
0 - 3
UD Móstoles Balompié
MBP
33%
21%
46%
13 11 2 0
28 May. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
2 - 3
Fepe Getafe III
FPG
66%
17%
17%
13 11 2 0
21 May. 2023
GRI
CD Griñón
3 - 2
UD Móstoles Balompié
MBP
18%
17%
65%
14 10 4 -1
14 May. 2023
MBP
UD Móstoles Balompié
3 - 0
Atlético Navalcarnero
ATN
53%
20%
27%
13 13 0 +1