Série C Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Operário PR vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OPE
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 0
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 2
OPE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
CUI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OPE
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SAN
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
CON
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |