Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-7
Operário MS vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
7DE
3 - 2
OPE
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
OPE
1 - 1
COX
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
OPE
0 - 1
AGU
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
LON
1 - 1
OPE
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
OPE
1 - 2
CEN
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AME
1 - 2
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 2
AME
76%
15%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VOL
3 - 2
BOT
15%
23%
62%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
BOT
5 - 3
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |