Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Ontinyent CF vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ONT
5 - 1
CDT
37%
31%
33%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 0
GRA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CEU
1 - 0
ONT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 1
MLL
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
89%
7%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 1
OVI
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
OVI
2 - 0
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |