Once Deportivo vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
8º
6º
27
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 40 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 39 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 33 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 32 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 31 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
63.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 14 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 2
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 2
FAS
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
ONC
17%
25%
59%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALI
5 - 0
MUN
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 1
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
MUN
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
CDP
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |