Once Deportivo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
ONC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
MET
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
5 - 0
ONC
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
FAS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
5 - 0
ONC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |