Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 0
ONC
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
SFE
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 0
EQU
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
EQU
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
EQU
2 - 3
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |