Clausura Colombia round 16

Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis

Once Caldas Cúcuta Deportivo
81 ELO 68
10.2% Tilt 6.1%
431º General ELO ranking 553º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
70.7%
Once Caldas
18.8%
Draw
10.5%
Cúcuta Deportivo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
Once Caldas
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
Cúcuta Deportivo
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Once Caldas
-2%
-1%
Cúcuta Deportivo

ELO progression

Once Caldas
Cúcuta Deportivo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Once Caldas
Once Caldas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2011
HUI
Atlético Huila
1 - 0
Once Caldas
ONC
28%
25%
46%
80 69 11 0
13 Nov. 2011
ONC
Once Caldas
4 - 0
América de Cali
AME
69%
20%
11%
80 70 10 0
06 Nov. 2011
ONC
Once Caldas
1 - 2
Junior
JUN
52%
25%
23%
80 80 0 0
04 Nov. 2011
SFE
Santa Fe
1 - 2
Once Caldas
ONC
37%
26%
37%
80 76 4 0
15 Oct. 2011
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 1
Once Caldas
ONC
31%
27%
43%
80 74 6 0

Matches

Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2011
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Águilas Doradas
AGU
35%
29%
36%
69 74 5 0
06 Nov. 2011
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 0
Atlético Huila
HUI
39%
28%
33%
69 70 1 0
03 Nov. 2011
JUN
Junior
2 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
73%
18%
10%
68 80 12 +1
22 Oct. 2011
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
0 - 1
Santa Fe
SFE
33%
28%
38%
69 75 6 -1
16 Oct. 2011
AME
América de Cali
3 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
55%
25%
20%
70 70 0 -1