Omiya Ardija vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TOK
3 - 1
OMI
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
2 - 1
MIT
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
KYO
2 - 4
OMI
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
1 - 2
TOK
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
OMI
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOC
0 - 1
VVA
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOC
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOC
2 - 0
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
KYO
3 - 2
TOC
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JUB
2 - 3
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |