Olympique Marseille vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 0
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 1
FCR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
0 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
REI
5 - 1
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
1 - 0
ASS
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
1 - 1
GIR
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |