Olympique Marseille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
2º
24
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 82 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 65 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 64 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 64 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 59 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 55 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 52 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 46 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 42 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 40 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 31 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 30 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 29 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 29 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 26 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
60.5% | 3% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 1% |
|
Europa League
|
12.5% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
REI
66%
21%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 5
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 4
NIC
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 1
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |