Olympique Marseille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
VAL
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
REN
3 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ASB
0 - 2
MAR
20%
25%
56%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
SED
3 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |