Olympique Alès vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
ROD
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SCT
1 - 1
OLY
16%
18%
65%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 1
OLY
22%
20%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 4
GRA
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 2
OLY
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
GAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 1
SOC
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CLE
3 - 1
GAZ
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BDS
1 - 2
GAZ
7%
15%
79%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 1
RED
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |