Olympiacos vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
OLP
1 - 0
LAR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ERG
3 - 3
OLP
18%
25%
58%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
4 - 2
OLP
80%
13%
6%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
OLP
4 - 1
PAN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
RMA
41%
25%
34%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
VCF
1 - 5
RMA
36%
25%
39%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
4 - 2
OLP
80%
13%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |