Champions League 1/16

Global 3-5

Olympiacos vs Milan analysis

Olympiacos Milan
80 ELO 87
0.2% Tilt 0%
298º General ELO ranking 18º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Olympiacos
22.2%
Draw
35%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Olympiacos
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35%
Win probability
Milan
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympiacos
+13%
-3%
Milan

ELO progression

Olympiacos
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 1959
BOL
Bologna
1 - 1
Milan
ACM
33%
23%
44%
87 79 8 0
02 Jun. 1959
ACM
Milan
7 - 0
Udinese
UDI
83%
11%
7%
87 74 13 0
28 May. 1959
PAD
Padova
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
31%
23%
46%
87 78 9 0
24 May. 1959
ACM
Milan
4 - 0
Genoa
GEN
80%
12%
8%
87 75 12 0
17 May. 1959
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
29%
23%
48%
87 78 9 0