National Premier Queensland round 4

Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis

Olympic FC Moreton City Excelsior
28 ELO 26
26.9% Tilt 31.9%
8486º General ELO ranking 5244º
66º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Olympic FC
15.2%
Draw
14.4%
Moreton City Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
Olympic FC
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
14.4%
Win probability
Moreton City Excelsior
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympic FC
-40%
+123%
Moreton City Excelsior

ELO progression

Olympic FC
Moreton City Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympic FC
Olympic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2017
OLY
Olympic FC
3 - 2
Brisbane City
BRI
72%
16%
13%
30 24 6 0
01 Apr. 2017
FNQ
FNQ Heat
1 - 0
Olympic FC
OLY
35%
22%
43%
30 27 3 0
26 Mar. 2017
SUN
SC Wanderers
2 - 8
Olympic FC
OLY
9%
14%
77%
30 14 16 0
11 Mar. 2017
WES
Western Pride
0 - 1
Olympic FC
OLY
18%
17%
66%
30 20 10 0
03 Mar. 2017
RED
Redlands United
2 - 6
Olympic FC
OLY
52%
20%
28%
30 31 1 0

Matches

Moreton City Excelsior
Moreton City Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2017
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
2 - 2
Redlands United
RED
50%
20%
30%
26 25 1 0
04 Apr. 2017
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
0 - 0
Western Pride
WES
70%
16%
14%
27 21 6 -1
25 Mar. 2017
FNQ
FNQ Heat
2 - 3
Moreton City Excelsior
MOR
60%
19%
21%
26 29 3 +1
11 Mar. 2017
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar U21
BRR
70%
16%
14%
26 22 4 0
04 Mar. 2017
BRI
Brisbane Strikers
4 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior
MOR
77%
14%
10%
27 36 9 -1