Serie B round 4

CD Olmedo vs Aucas analysis

CD Olmedo Aucas
65 ELO 68
4.6% Tilt -1.7%
13388º General ELO ranking 475º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.8%
CD Olmedo
27.3%
Draw
32.9%
Aucas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
CD Olmedo
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
Aucas
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Olmedo
+8%
+5%
Aucas

ELO progression

CD Olmedo
Aucas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Olmedo
CD Olmedo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2017
AME
América Quito
0 - 3
CD Olmedo
OLM
47%
27%
26%
64 63 1 0
12 Mar. 2017
OLM
CD Olmedo
1 - 0
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
51%
26%
24%
63 63 0 +1
04 Mar. 2017
LOJ
LDU Loja
0 - 1
CD Olmedo
OLM
45%
26%
29%
62 60 2 +1
03 Dec. 2016
COL
Colón FC
1 - 0
CD Olmedo
OLM
37%
28%
34%
64 60 4 -2
27 Nov. 2016
OLM
CD Olmedo
1 - 3
Imbabura
IMB
43%
26%
31%
65 67 2 -1

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2017
AUC
Aucas
1 - 2
Técnico Universitario
TEC
52%
24%
24%
70 67 3 0
12 Mar. 2017
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
LDU Loja
LOJ
68%
19%
12%
71 59 12 -1
05 Mar. 2017
AME
América Quito
1 - 2
Aucas
AUC
40%
29%
31%
70 65 5 +1
10 Dec. 2016
BSC
Barcelona SC
3 - 3
Aucas
AUC
63%
22%
15%
71 79 8 -1
04 Dec. 2016
AUC
Aucas
1 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
45%
25%
30%
71 71 0 0