Olinda vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
1 - 0
OFC
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
OFC
3 - 0
LIM
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
OFC
5 - 1
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
OFC
0 - 2
AFC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
OFC
45%
23%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 2
AME
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
ARA
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
VCR
0 - 1
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
TFC
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |