Olimpo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
1º
22
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
GER
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
OLI
43%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
OLI
10%
23%
67%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
CSS
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 0
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
KIM
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |