Olimpia FC vs Cristo Rey de Negritos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MJA
3 - 2
OFC
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OFC
1 - 1
BJC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cristo Rey de Negritos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CRN
3 - 2
REP
34%
22%
44%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JPC
2 - 1
CRN
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |