Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
JLM
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
2DE
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |