Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 3
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |