Olimpia vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 3
RÑU
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |