Olginatese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
OLG
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 1
REZ
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
OLG
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OLG
3 - 4
PON
36%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 1
OLG
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
GSD
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |