Oleiros vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 0
OLE
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
OLE
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAF
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
4 - 1
NAV
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAL
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |