Championship round 41

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Swindon Town analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Swindon Town
58 ELO 60
2.4% Tilt -10.3%
3538º General ELO ranking 3168º
113º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
40.7%
Oldham Athletic AFC
26.7%
Draw
32.6%
Swindon Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.6%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+63%
+2%
Swindon Town

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Swindon Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1997
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
56%
26%
19%
57 62 5 0
23 Mar. 1997
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
28%
26%
46%
57 71 14 0
18 Mar. 1997
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
CHA
44%
27%
29%
57 62 5 0
15 Mar. 1997
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 2
Wolves
WOL
32%
27%
41%
56 68 12 +1
08 Mar. 1997
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
69%
20%
11%
57 68 11 -1

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1997
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 3
Norwich City
NOR
49%
24%
27%
62 61 1 0
22 Mar. 1997
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
49%
26%
26%
63 63 0 -1
15 Mar. 1997
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
52%
25%
23%
62 62 0 +1
08 Mar. 1997
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
7 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
73%
17%
10%
63 73 10 -1
04 Mar. 1997
BAR
Barnsley
1 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
54%
25%
22%
63 65 2 0