League One round 30

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Hartlepool United analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Hartlepool United
59 ELO 56
-0.4% Tilt -4.4%
3549º General ELO ranking 4065º
112º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC
25.7%
Draw
23.8%
Hartlepool United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
Hartlepool United
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+21%
+23%
Hartlepool United

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Hartlepool United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2011
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
65%
20%
14%
58 65 7 0
25 Jan. 2011
WAL
Walsall
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
39%
26%
35%
58 51 7 0
22 Jan. 2011
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 1
Brentford
BRE
43%
28%
29%
57 61 4 +1
15 Jan. 2011
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
48%
26%
26%
56 56 0 +1
11 Jan. 2011
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 6
Southampton
SOU
20%
25%
56%
57 73 16 -1

Matches

Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2011
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 1
Notts County
NOT
36%
26%
38%
57 65 8 0
22 Jan. 2011
POS
Peterborough United
4 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
65%
20%
15%
58 60 2 -1
18 Jan. 2011
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
41%
27%
33%
58 54 4 0
15 Jan. 2011
HAR
Hartlepool United
0 - 1
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
64%
20%
16%
59 53 6 -1
08 Jan. 2011
WAT
Watford
4 - 1
Hartlepool United
HAR
73%
17%
11%
61 72 11 -2