Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
7º
52
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 0
NOR
44%
21%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRT
1 - 4
OLD
56%
19%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 4
UNI
17%
18%
66%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 6
OLD
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRR
5 - 2
OLD
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
0 - 2
KIL
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
6 - 1
FLE
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 3
KIL
39%
22%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
VFR
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PRR
2 - 2
KIL
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |