Oldenburger SV vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
14º
10º
32
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
0 - 3
OLD
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 4
ECK
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HOH
4 - 1
OLD
32%
20%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 0
VFR
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOR
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
4 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
DOR
60%
19%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 5
EIC
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |