Okinawa SV vs Reilac Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
14º
15º
43
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SON
3 - 2
OSV
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OSV
2 - 1
SUN
15%
21%
65%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
OSV
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 0
KUS
15%
22%
64%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
OSV
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 0
YOK
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 3
MIO
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
CRS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
MIO
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
MIO
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |