Oita Trinita vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
OIT
2 - 2
VIS
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SHI
0 - 0
OIT
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
OIT
1 - 3
URA
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KAR
0 - 0
OIT
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
OIT
0 - 0
FCT
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOK
4 - 4
NAG
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 2
TOK
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TOK
4 - 2
CER
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 3
TOK
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
TOK
4 - 1
KYO
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |